Ceará vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CEA
1 - 0
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
GAM
0 - 2
CEA
17%
23%
61%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 0
CEA
24%
24%
52%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 2
CEA
9%
16%
75%
|
74 | 37 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
CEA
9%
17%
75%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
CRA
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUA
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 4
HOR
37%
24%
40%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |