Ceará vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
12%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
CEA
32%
26%
43%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 3
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 1
GRÊ
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
TIR
0 - 1
CEA
17%
21%
63%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 3
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
LIM
0 - 0
GUA
20%
22%
58%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
GUA
52%
24%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
FOR
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
FER
1 - 2
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |