Ceará vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.7%
3%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 1
CEA
15%
21%
64%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
CEA
3 - 3
FLA
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
MAC
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
AMF
1 - 1
CEA
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 0
CEA
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
RIV
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
IMP
3 - 2
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 2
PAL
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
IMP
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |