Cearense 1 Semi-finals
Global 4-0
Ceará vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
3.9%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
CON
83%
12%
5%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
CEA
5 - 2
GUA
84%
12%
5%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 2
CEA
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CEA
0 - 0
VIT
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
GUA
78%
15%
6%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
QUI
40%
26%
35%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
ICA
24%
26%
51%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ICA
3 - 0
GUA
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |