Ceará vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
3.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
4 - 0
ARN
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEA
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 0
ICA
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 1
CEA
19%
24%
57%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
CEA
5 - 1
VIT
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 1
GUA
71%
19%
11%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
HOR
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 0
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRA
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |