Ceará vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEA
36%
25%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
CEA
4 - 3
CEI
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FER
0 - 2
CEA
14%
21%
64%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
CEI
0 - 0
CEA
14%
21%
65%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CEA
0 - 0
HOR
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 3
ICA
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 3
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
FOR
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |