Ceará vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 2
CEA
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
CEA
32%
26%
43%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 3
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 1
GRÊ
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
4 - 0
HOR
35%
23%
42%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 0
GUA
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 0
FER
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
GUA
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 3
GUA
31%
25%
45%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |