Ceará vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 1
CEA
13%
20%
67%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
0 - 1
CEA
17%
21%
63%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
CEA
0 - 0
ARN
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
PPE
1 - 2
CEA
54%
24%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 2
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 4
QUI
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRA
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 0
ITA
44%
23%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
BOV
0 - 0
GUA
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
UNI
3 - 1
GUA
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -2 |