Ceará vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
ATL
4 - 1
CEA
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 0
BRA
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
IFC
0 - 0
CEA
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 0
DUQ
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
CEA
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
GUA
3 - 1
IFC
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ATL
4 - 1
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 3
POR
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
ABC
53%
25%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |