Cearense 1 Final
Global 1-1
Ceará vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
CEA
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
CEA
2 - 1
ITA
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 1
CEA
11%
21%
68%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEA
67%
19%
13%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 1
FER
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
SPT
0 - 2
FOR
23%
25%
52%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
CEA
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 2
FOR
8%
21%
72%
|
89 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 1
VIT
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEA
67%
19%
13%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |