Cearense 1 Final
Global 1-3
Ceará vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 2
GOI
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
CEA
5 - 1
BRU
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BRA
4 - 2
CEA
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
BRU
0 - 2
CEA
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 0
FLA
12%
20%
69%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 1
FOR
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
SCI
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 1
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
SPO
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
FLA
2 - 1
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |