Ceará vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 5
CEA
7%
18%
75%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 1
SPO
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
VIT
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 1
CEA
10%
19%
71%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 4
CEA
8%
19%
73%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 5
FOR
7%
17%
76%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
NAU
0 - 3
FOR
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 0
PAC
89%
9%
2%
|
76 | 36 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
CSA
75%
17%
9%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
FOR
13%
21%
66%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |