Cearense 1 Final
Global 4-2
Ceará vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CEA
0 - 1
UNI
85%
12%
3%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
CEA
6 - 0
SAL
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 6
CEA
9%
17%
74%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
CEA
2 - 0
FLO
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
CSA
1 - 1
CEA
17%
22%
61%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
FLO
1 - 3
FOR
17%
20%
63%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 1
FLO
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 1
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
FLO
1 - 0
FOR
15%
19%
65%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 1
FOR
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | +1 |