Ceará vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 3
CEA
20%
23%
57%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 3
CEA
16%
22%
63%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
CEA
5 - 1
TIR
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
FER
1 - 2
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
CEA
2 - 2
CRA
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
GUA
70%
18%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
GUA
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
HOR
52%
22%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 1
FOR
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
TIR
63%
20%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |