Ceará vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ATM
1 - 1
CEA
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CEA
3 - 2
COT
31%
27%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 0
CEA
57%
25%
19%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 0
CEA
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 1
ATL
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FFL
0 - 0
COT
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
FFL
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
FFL
1 - 1
SCI
34%
26%
41%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 0
FFL
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FFL
1 - 1
VAS
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |