Ceará vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
BAH
1 - 0
CEA
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CEA
0 - 2
VAS
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 2
CEA
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEA
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 2
FOR
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
FFL
1 - 2
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 3
FFL
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
FFL
3 - 0
IFC
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
PPE
0 - 0
FFL
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
FFL
2 - 2
PPE
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |