Ceará vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 2
FOR
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 5
CEA
7%
18%
75%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 1
SPO
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
VIT
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 1
CEA
10%
19%
71%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
CAU
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
PAC
0 - 1
FER
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
FOR
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
FER
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FER
2 - 4
UNI
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |