Ceará vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 0
TIR
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 1
GUA
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
AMF
0 - 0
CEA
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
CEA
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
CEA
10%
18%
73%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 2
FER
44%
25%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
FER
1 - 1
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
FER
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 2
FER
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
FER
2 - 2
FOR
13%
20%
67%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |