Ceará vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
10.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 2
CEA
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 2
CEA
35%
25%
39%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 1
CEA
14%
20%
66%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 0
QUI
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 40 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 1
GUA
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
ITA
3 - 2
FER
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
FER
1 - 4
TIR
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 2
FER
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FER
1 - 2
FOR
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |