Copa do Nordeste Eliminatorias Final
Global 2-2
Ceará vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 0
CRA
89%
9%
2%
|
80 | 31 | 49 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
BOL
0 - 0
CEA
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 1
PAC
91%
7%
1%
|
80 | 38 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 1
CEA
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 0
CEA
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
JAC
0 - 1
BAH
11%
21%
68%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 2
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 1
CEA
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
BAH
5 - 0
GUA
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
BAH
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |