Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 0-2
Ceará vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
OPE
0 - 0
CEA
18%
27%
55%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
CEA
2 - 1
AFC
78%
16%
6%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 3
CEA
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
CEA
2 - 2
CRB
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
CRB
1 - 0
CEA
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
CRB
1 - 0
VIL
45%
28%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
AVA
2 - 1
CRB
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CRB
2 - 0
CHA
56%
26%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
CEA
2 - 2
CRB
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
CRB
1 - 0
CEA
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |