Ceará vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
CEA
23%
23%
55%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CEA
4 - 0
QUI
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 1
JMA
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 4
CEA
15%
20%
65%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
CEA
4 - 0
LIM
77%
16%
8%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 1
CRA
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 1
FER
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 4
CEA
15%
20%
65%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRA
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
CRA
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |