Ceará vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
CEA
2 - 1
FOR
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SCI
1 - 0
CEA
70%
19%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
CEA
2 - 0
PAL
15%
25%
60%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 1
CEA
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 0
CEA
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 3
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 0
BAH
39%
29%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
SAO
4 - 0
CHA
55%
26%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 2
ATM
30%
28%
43%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 1
FLU
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |