Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 4-3
Ceará vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FER
0 - 2
CEA
14%
21%
64%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
CEI
0 - 0
CEA
14%
21%
65%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CEA
0 - 0
HOR
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 3
CEA
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 2
CEA
11%
21%
68%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
CEI
0 - 0
CEA
14%
21%
65%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CEI
1 - 1
BDF
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CEI
1 - 1
SOB
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 4
CEI
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |