Ceará vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
20%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 1
AMF
38%
30%
33%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
LON
3 - 2
CEA
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 0
NAU
54%
26%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BOA
4 - 1
CEA
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 0
CRB
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 0
CRB
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 0
BRA
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 1
GOI
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
LON
4 - 1
BRA
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
GUA
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |