Ceará vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CEA
3 - 0
ABC
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 2
CEA
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CEA
2 - 1
BOA
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 1
CEA
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CRI
3 - 0
CEA
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 1
MOG
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
BRA
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 2
LUV
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
4 - 0
BRA
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 0
CRI
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |