Ceará vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
CAU
87%
11%
3%
|
73 | 30 | 43 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
OES
1 - 1
CEA
22%
26%
52%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 2
BAH
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
BPA
1 - 2
CEA
6%
13%
81%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ABC
0 - 0
CEA
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CSP
1 - 1
BOT
7%
18%
75%
|
64 | 32 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
CAM
0 - 1
BOT
9%
19%
72%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CSA
0 - 1
BOT
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 0
BOT
10%
19%
72%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 1
NAU
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |