Ceará vs Boa Viagem EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
JMA
2 - 1
CEA
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 0
FER
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
CEA
0 - 0
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
CEA
14%
20%
66%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 1
HOR
69%
19%
13%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Boa Viagem EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BOV
2 - 2
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
BOV
3 - 2
LIM
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FER
2 - 1
BOV
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
BOV
2 - 0
QUI
44%
23%
33%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CRA
3 - 2
BOV
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |