Ceará vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 0
CRZ
19%
24%
58%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
GOI
0 - 0
CEA
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 0
VIT
32%
29%
40%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
CEA
78%
14%
8%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 0
FLU
21%
26%
53%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
AVA
0 - 0
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
GRE
3 - 0
AVA
60%
21%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
AVA
2 - 0
VAS
47%
24%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CRZ
2 - 2
AVA
68%
19%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
AVA
6 - 1
GRÊ
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |