Ceará vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
49.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
GOI
1 - 1
CEA
33%
27%
39%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
AMF
0 - 2
CEA
38%
28%
34%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 1
COT
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEA
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
CEA
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ATM
1 - 1
SAN
72%
18%
11%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
FLU
5 - 3
ATM
29%
27%
44%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
PAL
0 - 0
ATM
47%
25%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
ATM
2 - 1
AVA
82%
13%
5%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
ATM
1 - 2
TOL
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |