Ceará vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
PPE
1 - 2
CEA
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 2
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
ATL
4 - 1
CEA
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 0
BRA
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
IFC
0 - 0
CEA
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ARN
1 - 0
IFC
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
VAS
2 - 1
ARN
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
ARN
1 - 0
FFL
23%
24%
54%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ARN
2 - 0
VIL
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
ARN
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |