Ceará Sub 20 vs Fluminense Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
59.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
SPO
2 - 1
CEA
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 2
SAO
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
CRU
2 - 3
CEA
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
CEA
45%
22%
34%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 2
BAH
40%
23%
38%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
FLU
1 - 1
FLA
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
ATM
1 - 1
FLU
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
FLU
1 - 1
CHA
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 0
FLU
39%
25%
37%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
FLU
2 - 1
VAS
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |