Ceará U20 vs Chapecoense U20 analysis

Ceará U20 Chapecoense U20
31 ELO 27
-0.6% Tilt -2%
5099º General ELO ranking 34884º
235º Country ELO ranking 1033º
ELO win probability
53.2%
Ceará U20
20.8%
Draw
26%
Chapecoense U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
Ceará U20
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26%
Win probability
Chapecoense U20
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ceará U20
-24%
-2%
Chapecoense U20

ELO progression

Ceará U20
Chapecoense U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ceará U20
Ceará U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2020
CEA
Ceará U20
1 - 2
Goiás U20
GOI
43%
22%
36%
31 33 2 0
24 Sep. 2020
AME
América Mineiro U20
0 - 0
Ceará U20
CEA
69%
17%
15%
30 38 8 +1

Matches

Chapecoense U20
Chapecoense U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2020
CHA
Chapecoense U20
2 - 3
Internacional U20
INT
30%
21%
49%
29 38 9 0
23 Sep. 2020
SPO
Sport Recife U20
1 - 0
Chapecoense U20
CHA
71%
16%
13%
31 39 8 -2
16 Oct. 2019
CHA
Chapecoense U20
2 - 3
Vitória U20
VIT
30%
22%
48%
32 41 9 -1
09 Oct. 2019
FLU
Fluminense U20
3 - 1
Chapecoense U20
CHA
72%
18%
11%
34 44 10 -2
02 Oct. 2019
CHA
Chapecoense U20
3 - 4
Santos U20
SAN
44%
22%
35%
34 35 1 0