Ceará Sub 20 vs Chapecoense Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 2
GOI
43%
22%
36%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
AME
0 - 0
CEA
69%
17%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 3
INT
30%
21%
49%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 0
CHA
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 3
VIT
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
FLU
3 - 1
CHA
72%
18%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 4
SAN
44%
22%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |