CBF Brasileiro U23 Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Ceará U23 vs Juventude U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 2
CEA
24%
23%
53%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 0
GRE
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
CEA
31%
25%
45%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 1
CEA
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
AVA
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Juventude U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 2
CEA
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
COR
1 - 1
JUV
50%
23%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 0
FLU
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
RBB
0 - 1
JUV
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 2
RBB
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |