CBF Brasileiro U23 Final
Global 3-5
Ceará U23 vs Gremio U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
CEA
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 0
FOR
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
CEA
0 - 1
COR
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
CEA
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
FFC
0 - 1
CEA
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Gremio U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 1
AVA
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 2
GRE
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
FFC
0 - 4
GRE
16%
21%
63%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
CEA
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
COR
2 - 2
GRE
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |