Mercantil Sub 19 vs Gimnàstic U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
48.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
11º
16º
15º
9
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 70 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 70 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 63 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 48 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 45 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 43 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 36 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 36 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 35 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 35 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 35 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 34 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 28 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
|
13º
|
2 | 25 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 23 |
16º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
1% | 23% |
|
Possible next round
|
1% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
27% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation
|
71% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercantil Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
UDC
3 - 1
CEM
48%
24%
28%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CEM
0 - 0
MAN
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CEM
0 - 0
CDS
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZAR
3 - 0
CEM
66%
18%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CEM
0 - 5
UDC
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnàstic U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 0
ZAR
34%
25%
42%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GIR
1 - 2
GIM
45%
23%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 2
CFD
45%
24%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CFS
1 - 3
GIM
42%
24%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
UDC
0 - 2
GIM
8%
15%
77%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |