Mercantil Sub 19 vs Barcelona U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
76.6%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
10º
7º
55
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
47.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
62.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
87% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
87% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercantil Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 1
CEM
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CEM
1 - 1
CFD
18%
20%
61%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CEM
2 - 1
UDC
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ESC
2 - 0
CEM
53%
21%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CEM
1 - 1
RCD
29%
22%
48%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FCB
2 - 0
RCZ
84%
10%
5%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 2
FCB
15%
19%
66%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FCB
0 - 1
ATH
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 0
FCB
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 1
FCB
10%
16%
74%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |