Mercantil Sub 19 vs CE Constància Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
10º
7º
24
10º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
47.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
62.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
87% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
87% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercantil Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
RCD
4 - 0
CEM
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CEM
0 - 0
MLL
25%
23%
52%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 1
CEM
82%
11%
6%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CEM
3 - 2
SAB
39%
23%
39%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CFD
1 - 1
CEM
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CE Constància Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CEC
0 - 1
RCZ
19%
23%
58%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CDS
4 - 2
CEC
77%
16%
8%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CEC
2 - 4
ESC
20%
20%
60%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CEC
0 - 1
RCD
9%
17%
74%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MLL
3 - 0
CEC
88%
9%
3%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |