CE Europa vs UE Sants analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
2º
1º
23
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
98.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
62.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
23 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
88.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RAP
1 - 2
EUR
17%
21%
62%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
EUR
0 - 1
PER
67%
21%
12%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAF
2 - 0
EUR
19%
26%
55%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
EUR
3 - 0
TON
77%
15%
9%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 0
EUR
12%
22%
66%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
UE Sants
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
MON
27%
25%
48%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 3
HOS
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UES
2 - 0
SAN
69%
19%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
BAD
27%
25%
48%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |