Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-1
CE Europa vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
LEV
1 - 1
EUR
76%
16%
9%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
EUR
1 - 0
CAD
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
CEU
2 - 0
EUR
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
MAL
4 - 0
EUR
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
EUR
1 - 3
LLE
64%
22%
15%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
ZAR
1 - 0
PON
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
ELC
5 - 1
ZAR
36%
26%
39%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
ZAR
1 - 0
SAB
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
ATM
0 - 0
ZAR
63%
20%
18%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
ZAR
3 - 0
CCF
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |