Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-4
CE Europa vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
OVI
4 - 0
EUR
57%
20%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
RUN
3 - 4
EUR
70%
15%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1930 |
EUR
5 - 0
RAC
42%
22%
36%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
RMA
6 - 1
EUR
90%
7%
4%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
EUR
1 - 2
ESP
12%
15%
73%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
OVI
4 - 0
EUR
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
ISC
4 - 1
OVI
51%
21%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
SPO
1 - 3
OVI
55%
19%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
OVI
4 - 1
BET
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
ALA
6 - 0
OVI
49%
21%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |