CE Europa vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
79.6%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.5%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1929 |
EUR
4 - 3
RSO
13%
16%
72%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1929 |
RAC
3 - 2
EUR
78%
13%
9%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1929 |
EUR
4 - 1
ATM
27%
23%
51%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 1929 |
FCB
5 - 2
EUR
87%
9%
5%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1929 |
EUR
3 - 3
RUN
30%
23%
48%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1929 |
RMA
5 - 1
ATH
60%
19%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1929 |
ARE
3 - 2
RMA
37%
22%
40%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1929 |
RMA
2 - 0
RUN
72%
15%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1929 |
ESP
4 - 0
RMA
56%
20%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1929 |
RAC
1 - 3
RMA
35%
23%
42%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |