Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 8-4
CE Europa vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
SPO
1 - 0
EUR
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
EUR
2 - 1
CEL
46%
29%
25%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
UPL
1 - 0
EUR
44%
29%
27%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
CCF
4 - 0
EUR
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
EUR
1 - 1
CCF
33%
24%
43%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
RJA
1 - 1
MUR
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
GRA
3 - 0
RJA
82%
13%
5%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
RJA
3 - 0
CON
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
RJA
8 - 0
OLI
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
LIN
1 - 0
RJA
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |