Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-8
CE Europa vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
53.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
GIM
3 - 0
EUR
68%
23%
10%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
EUR
1 - 1
OLI
92%
6%
2%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
BAR
1 - 1
EUR
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
EUR
2 - 2
JUP
59%
25%
16%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
FIG
2 - 1
EUR
71%
20%
10%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
MAL
1 - 1
RJA
61%
25%
14%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
OSA
2 - 1
MAL
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
MAL
0 - 0
CAS
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
GDE
1 - 0
MAL
46%
28%
27%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
MAL
0 - 1
SAB
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |