Copa Chile 1/16
Global 4-0
CDSC Iberia vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
66.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDSC Iberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
IBE
0 - 1
COQ
39%
25%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 2
IBE
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
IBE
3 - 5
CSD
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
NUB
0 - 2
IBE
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
IBE
0 - 2
CUR
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCO
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ACS
0 - 3
UCO
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
UCO
0 - 0
UNI
35%
27%
39%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 0
DEP
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
HUA
0 - 0
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |