Cruz Azul vs Toros Neza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
4.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 0
CAZ
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
LIB
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AME
2 - 2
CAZ
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAZ
5 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
CAF
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
LOB
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 0
TOR
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
4 - 1
CAZ
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
TOR
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |