Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TIJ
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 4
CAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MAZ
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 0
AME
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 3
CAZ
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 0
MAZ
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 2
JUA
76%
16%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
TOL
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 0
CHI
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
39%
25%
37%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |