CONCACAF Champions Cup Final
Global 1-1
Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 2
PAC
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 0
TIJ
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
AME
1 - 2
CAZ
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
TIJ
1 - 0
CAZ
37%
27%
37%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 3
ATS
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 1
LEO
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 0
LDA
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TIJ
3 - 1
TOL
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
LDA
0 - 1
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 1
TIG
54%
24%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |