Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
EST
2 - 1
CAZ
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
CAZ
1 - 1
ATS
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
MOR
0 - 1
CAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2005 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOL
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 0
CAZ
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 1
VER
76%
16%
9%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
SNL
1 - 3
TOL
28%
25%
46%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
TOL
3 - 1
NEC
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2005 |
MON
0 - 3
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2005 |
TOL
3 - 3
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |