Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
VER
3 - 2
CAZ
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
CAZ
1 - 3
TOL
38%
26%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
PAC
3 - 1
CAZ
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
CAZ
2 - 0
ATL
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PUM
1 - 3
CAZ
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
TIG
2 - 2
EST
68%
20%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
TIG
7 - 1
VER
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
TOL
4 - 1
TIG
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
TIG
0 - 0
PAC
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 2
TIG
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |